| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | vs #24 Boise State (11-2, 7-1) | W 17-13 | 5.12 | 3.68 | +1.44 | 82.68%
| -2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Central Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | W 41-7 | 6.35 | 4.08 | +2.26 | 93.33%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs #20 Notre Dame (12-1) | L 3-20 | 3.39 | 4.55 | -1.16 | 22.62%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 23-7 | 5.86 | 3.33 | +2.54 | 95.25%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs #14 Ohio State (12-0, 8-0) | L 16-17 | 4.73 | 5.72 | -0.98 | 26.32%
| +3 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Indiana (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-27 | 5.00 | 4.73 | +0.27 | 56.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Iowa (4-8, 2-6) | L 16-19 | 4.69 | 3.67 | +1.01 | 74.34%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at #23 Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | L 10-12 | 4.68 | 5.26 | -0.58 | 35.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at #25 Wisconsin (8-6, 5-4) | W 16-13 | 4.13 | 3.22 | +0.91 | 72.17%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs #20 Nebraska (10-4, 7-2) | L 24-28 | 5.16 | 6.22 | -1.07 | 24.53%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Northwestern (10-3, 5-3) | L 20-23 | 4.87 | 4.33 | +0.54 | 63.57%
| -4 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Minnesota (6-7, 2-6) | W 26-10 | 5.77 | 1.96 | +3.81 | 97.56%
| +2 |
| Dec 29December 29 | vs TCU (7-6, 4-5) * | W 17-16 | 3.29 | 4.88 | -1.59 | 14.84%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 3-5 | 4.88 | 4.37 | +0.510 | 7.59-5.41 (-0.59) | +2 |