| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs #11 South Dakota State (9-5, 5-4) | W 38-18 | 6.55 | 5.70 | +0.85 | 70.67%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Toledo (9-4, 7-1) | W 49-24 | 6.28 | 5.40 | +0.88 | 71.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs UCF (9-4, 7-1) | W 38-10 | 5.46 | 3.99 | +1.47 | 83.15%
| +3 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Indiana (4-8, 1-7) | L 27-31 | 6.06 | 5.94 | +0.12 | 53.04%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #13 South Carolina (7-6, 3-5) | W 21-20 | 4.00 | 4.28 | -0.28 | 42.93%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #13 Georgia (10-3, 6-2) | L 0-34 | 3.42 | 4.36 | -0.94 | 27.28%
| -5 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Florida (7-5, 4-4) | W 42-13 | 2.43 | 3.58 | -1.15 | 22.75%
| +5 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Vanderbilt (3-9, 0-8) | W 24-14 | 5.58 | 4.14 | +1.44 | 82.64%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | W 20-10 | 4.10 | 3.61 | +0.49 | 62.31%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #24 Texas A&M (8-5, 3-5) | W 34-27 | 6.60 | 5.41 | +1.18 | 77.81%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Tennessee (7-6, 3-5) | W 29-21 | 5.86 | 4.16 | +1.69 | 86.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Arkansas (7-6, 2-6) | W 21-14 | 5.10 | 4.80 | +0.30 | 57.48%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 | vs #1 Alabama (12-2, 8-1) * | L 13-42 | 5.49 | 6.63 | -1.14 | 23.02%
| -1 |
| Jan 1January 1 (Thu) | at Minnesota (8-5, 5-3) * | W 33-17 | 6.78 | 5.65 | +1.13 | 76.74%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 7-2 | 5.39 | 4.83 | +0.558 | 8.38-5.62 (+2.62) | +9 |