| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Chadron State (0-1) | W 33-6 | | | | | |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Drake (8-3, 7-1) | W 34-24 | 4.80 | 4.81 | -0.01 | 49.72%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs #23 Stephen F. Austin (5-6, 4-3) | W 43-35 | 5.33 | 6.31 | -0.98 | 26.34%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Northern Colorado (5-6, 4-5) | W 41-16 | 6.27 | 5.12 | +1.15 | 77.18%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Southern Utah (5-6, 4-4) | W 24-17 | 5.96 | 4.20 | +1.76 | 87.64%
| -2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at UC Davis (4-7, 3-5) | W 48-41 | 5.49 | 4.86 | +0.63 | 65.70%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs #6 Eastern Washington (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-27 | 4.10 | 3.77 | +0.33 | 58.40%
| -1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs North Dakota (5-6, 4-5) | W 55-10 | 7.39 | 3.40 | +4.00 | 98.01%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Sacramento State (6-5, 5-4) | W 20-17 | 4.04 | 5.36 | -1.31 | 19.70%
| +4 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Portland State (3-8, 2-7) | W 65-30 | 7.12 | 6.20 | +0.92 | 72.32%
| +4 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Montana (5-6, 3-5) | W 16-7 | 4.21 | 4.37 | -0.15 | 46.13%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs Stony Brook (10-3, 5-1) | W 16-10 | 5.58 | 4.38 | +1.21 | 78.26%
| +2 |
| Dec 7December 7 (Fri) | vs Sam Houston State (11-4, 6-1) | L 16-34 | 5.51 | 6.36 | -0.85 | 29.19%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 7-1 | 5.49 | 4.98 | +0.511 | 7.09-4.91 (+3.91) | +4 |