| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Texas Tech (4-8, 2-7) | L 10-45 | 4.82 | 7.27 | -2.46 | 5.23%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #13 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | W 38-17 | 6.33 | 3.71 | +2.62 | 95.69%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Western Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 23-14 | 4.70 | 5.03 | -0.33 | 41.61%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Norfolk State (5-7, 4-4) | W 56-21 | 8.48 | 5.40 | +3.08 | 97.04%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Northern Arizona (4-8, 2-6) | W 49-31 | | | | | |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Cal Poly (3-8, 2-6) | W 34-28 | 5.97 | 4.05 | +1.92 | 89.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Sacramento State (9-4, 8-1) | L 21-34 | 5.76 | 5.64 | +0.12 | 52.91%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at North Dakota (7-5) | L 12-16 | 4.72 | 5.02 | -0.30 | 42.41%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Utah (3-9, 2-5) | W 42-7 | 5.46 | 3.41 | +2.05 | 91.23%
| +4 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Northern Colorado (2-10, 2-6) | W 45-14 | 8.42 | 4.74 | +3.68 | 97.41%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at UC Davis (5-7, 3-4) | W 27-17 | 6.96 | 5.89 | +1.07 | 75.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs #3 Montana (10-4, 6-3) | W 48-14 | 6.42 | 4.16 | +2.27 | 93.35%
| +2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Albany (9-5, 6-2) | W 47-21 | 6.36 | 5.29 | +1.07 | 75.50%
| +1 |
| Dec 13December 13 (Fri) | vs Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | W 24-10 | 5.44 | 3.46 | +1.98 | 90.49%
| +2 |
| Dec 21December 21 | at North Dakota State (16-0, 9-0) | L 14-42 | 4.89 | 9.33 | -4.44 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-4, 6-1 | 6.10 | 5.20 | +0.897 | 9.48-4.52 (+1.52) | +14 |