| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs #12 Northern Iowa (7-6, 5-3) | W 26-23 | 4.97 | 3.27 | +1.70 | 86.85%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Drake (7-4, 6-2) | W 48-16 | 5.35 | 4.40 | +0.95 | 72.93%
| +4 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Western Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | L 27-31 | 4.73 | 6.14 | -1.41 | 17.97%
| -3 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Sacramento State (2-8, 1-6) | W 41-34 | 7.70 | 7.97 | -0.27 | 43.11%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Cal Poly (5-6, 4-5) | W 48-28 | 8.67 | 5.39 | +3.28 | 97.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Portland State (4-7, 3-4) | L 20-22 | 4.74 | 4.48 | +0.25 | 56.44%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at North Dakota (6-5) | L 14-41 | 6.56 | 6.87 | -0.32 | 41.99%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs #13 UC Davis (10-3, 7-2) | L 21-49 | 5.10 | 6.18 | -1.08 | 24.26%
| -4 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Southern Utah (1-10, 1-7) | W 57-14 | 7.56 | 3.39 | +4.17 | 98.75%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Idaho (4-7, 2-5) | W 46-27 | 6.71 | 5.79 | +0.93 | 72.51%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Montana State (8-5, 5-3) | L 25-29 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-3 | 6.16 | 5.33 | +0.835 | 6.12-3.88 (-0.12) | -1 |