| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Western Carolina (2-9, 1-7) | W 48-7 | 6.62 | 4.37 | +2.25 | 93.26%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at UCF (11-3, 8-1) | W 28-21 | 3.59 | 5.10 | -1.51 | 16.18%
| +5 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Thu) | vs Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5) | W 30-19 | 6.55 | 6.74 | -0.19 | 45.18%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Georgia Tech (6-7, 4-4) | W 45-28 | 6.74 | 5.71 | +1.03 | 74.64%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Virginia Tech (11-3, 9-0) | L 30-41 | 6.28 | 7.54 | -1.26 | 20.65%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Boston College (7-6, 4-4) | W 44-17 | 5.29 | 4.59 | +0.70 | 67.20%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at East Carolina (6-7, 5-3) | L 27-33 | 5.23 | 5.91 | -0.68 | 33.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Thu) | vs #16 Florida State (10-4, 6-3) | W 28-24 | 4.79 | 6.34 | -1.55 | 15.44%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Clemson (6-7, 4-4) | L 13-14 | 4.55 | 4.06 | +0.50 | 62.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Wake Forest (3-9, 1-7) | W 38-3 | 6.59 | 3.60 | +2.99 | 96.89%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at North Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | W 29-25 | 4.95 | 6.56 | -1.61 | 14.62%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Maryland (9-4, 5-3) | L 31-38 | 4.86 | 6.39 | -1.53 | 15.82%
| -2 |
| Dec 28December 28 (Tue) | vs West Virginia (9-4, 5-2) * | W 23-7 | 4.90 | 5.45 | -0.55 | 36.19%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 5.45 | 5.60 | -0.147 | 5.92-7.08 (+3.08) | +7 |