| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at East Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | W 21-20 | 5.29 | 5.63 | -0.34 | 41.39%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Charleston Southern (2-8, 2-3) | W 55-3 | 6.56 | 2.42 | +4.14 | 98.62%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Texas Tech (8-5, 5-4) | W 27-14 | 4.43 | 5.12 | -0.69 | 32.91%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Connecticut (6-7) | W 41-10 | 6.23 | 3.40 | +2.82 | 96.49%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #5 Clemson (11-3, 9-0) | L 20-30 | 4.04 | 5.21 | -1.16 | 22.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Florida State (10-3, 5-3) | W 19-17 | 4.45 | 6.67 | -2.22 | 7.01%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at #18 Syracuse (7-6, 4-4) | L 9-24 | 3.70 | 7.07 | -3.38 | 2.74%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 (Thu) | vs Virginia Tech (3-8, 1-6) | W 22-21 | 4.62 | 6.10 | -1.48 | 16.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #21 Wake Forest (8-5, 3-5) | W 30-21 | 4.71 | 5.67 | -0.96 | 26.77%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Boston College (3-9, 2-6) | L 20-21 | 4.93 | 4.63 | +0.29 | 57.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Louisville (8-5, 4-4) | L 10-25 | 3.99 | 5.39 | -1.40 | 17.99%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at #17 North Carolina (9-5, 6-3) | W 30-27 | 5.00 | 3.94 | +1.06 | 75.22%
| 0 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Fri) | vs Maryland (8-5, 4-5) * | L 12-16 | 4.49 | 4.33 | +0.16 | 53.93%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 4.84 | 4.99 | -0.155 | 5.50-7.50 (+2.50) | +6 |