| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | at Arizona State (7-6, 6-3) | L 31-37 | 6.24 | 5.71 | +0.52 | 63.11%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 30-28 | 6.02 | 5.73 | +0.29 | 57.34%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Troy (11-2, 7-1) | L 24-27 | 6.16 | 6.10 | +0.06 | 51.47%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs UTEP (0-12, 0-8) | W 41-14 | 6.42 | 3.24 | +3.17 | 97.15%
| +3 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Arkansas (4-8, 1-7) | L 24-42 | 6.83 | 6.42 | +0.41 | 60.34%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Appalachian State (9-4, 7-1) | L 31-45 | 5.78 | 7.08 | -1.30 | 19.89%
| -3 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Georgia Southern (2-10, 2-6) | W 35-27 | 6.22 | 4.49 | +1.72 | 87.14%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Arkansas State (7-5, 6-2) | L 21-37 | 3.56 | 5.21 | -1.66 | 13.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Texas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-35 | 7.59 | 6.33 | +1.26 | 79.31%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Louisiana (5-7, 4-4) | L 34-47 | 6.38 | 6.16 | +0.22 | 55.62%
| -3 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 17-10 | 4.69 | 2.95 | +1.74 | 87.39%
| +1 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 22-17 | 5.85 | 5.04 | +0.80 | 69.66%
| +2 |
| Dec 29December 29 (Fri) | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) * | W 26-20 | 4.40 | 4.96 | -0.56 | 36.05%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.82 | 5.36 | +0.461 | 7.78-5.22 (-0.78) | -2 |