| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | W 23-16 | 3.75 | 5.33 | -1.58 | 14.97%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | L 24-30 | 4.25 | 7.52 | -3.28 | 2.78%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Fresno State (6-6, 4-3) | L 0-48 | 2.26 | 7.72 | -5.46 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | L 11-31 | 2.67 | 4.72 | -2.05 | 8.72%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs New Mexico (5-7, 3-4) | L 40-50 | 7.41 | 7.52 | -0.11 | 47.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Wed) | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 13-54 | 5.15 | 7.91 | -2.76 | 3.72%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | vs Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 33-30 | 5.43 | 4.18 | +1.25 | 79.10%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | at Florida International (4-8, 3-5) * | L 13-34 | 3.97 | 7.07 | -3.10 | 2.94%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | L 28-41 | 5.97 | 6.56 | -0.58 | 35.47%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #15 Texas A&M (8-4, 5-3) | L 3-38 | 3.51 | 7.34 | -3.83 | 2.41%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 36-21 | 7.07 | 6.12 | +0.95 | 72.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | L 35-42 | 5.08 | 5.44 | -0.36 | 40.85%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 4.75 | 6.40 | -1.651 | 3.11-8.89 (-0.11) | -13 |