| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Bryant (2-7, 0-5) | W 19-3 | 4.84 | 3.75 | +1.09 | 75.95%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Tulsa (2-6, 0-5) | W 21-14 | 4.10 | 4.88 | -0.78 | 30.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Louisiana Tech (5-3, 3-2) | L 14-49 | 6.31 | 6.93 | -0.62 | 34.52%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at New Mexico (6-3, 3-2) | L 20-38 | 4.47 | 7.02 | -2.54 | 4.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 (Thu) | vs Sam Houston (0-8, 0-5) | W 37-10 | 6.14 | 4.82 | +1.32 | 80.54%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | at Liberty (4-4, 3-1) | L 27-30 | 5.17 | 4.88 | +0.29 | 57.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Wed) | vs Missouri State (5-3, 3-1) | L 17-24 | 4.90 | 5.38 | -0.48 | 37.85%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Western Kentucky (7-2, 5-1) | L 16-35 | 2.67 | 5.43 | -2.76 | 3.72%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Kennesaw State (6-2, 4-0) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #22 Tennessee (6-3, 3-3) | 4:15 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at UTEP (2-6, 1-3) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Middle Tennessee (1-7, 0-4) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-5, 1-4 | 4.75 | 5.43 | -0.681 | 3.25-4.75 (-0.25) | +3 |