| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Southern (4-7, 3-6) | W 66-21 | 6.84 | 5.00 | +1.84 | 88.70%
| +4 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #17 Texas (9-4, 5-4) | L 0-45 | 3.83 | 7.07 | -3.24 | 2.81%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Texas Tech (8-5, 4-5) | L 14-49 | 2.70 | 7.80 | -5.10 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at New Mexico State (1-11, 0-6) | W 27-14 | 5.47 | 6.19 | -0.71 | 32.36%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs #24 Boise State (11-2, 7-1) | L 29-32 | 5.58 | 7.79 | -2.21 | 7.11%
| -1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-4) | W 35-14 | 5.97 | 4.51 | +1.46 | 82.94%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-23 | 6.01 | 5.67 | +0.35 | 58.73%
| +3 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Air Force (6-7, 5-3) | L 23-28 | 6.33 | 6.31 | +0.02 | 50.44%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Fresno State (9-4, 7-1) | L 32-49 | 5.97 | 7.69 | -1.72 | 12.85%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at UNLV (2-11, 2-6) | L 7-35 | 4.93 | 10.39 | -5.46 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Wyoming (4-8, 3-5) | L 23-28 | 7.06 | 7.15 | -0.09 | 47.80%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | L 24-31 | 6.77 | 6.38 | +0.39 | 59.88%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Colorado State (4-8, 3-5) | L 20-24 | 5.90 | 6.66 | -0.76 | 31.16%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-9, 1-7 | 5.71 | 6.83 | -1.119 | 4.75-8.25 (-0.75) | +11 |