| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) | L 31-59 | 6.55 | 7.38 | -0.83 | 29.77%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs VMI (2-10, 1-6) | W 48-7 | 7.41 | 4.64 | +2.76 | 96.29%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Indiana (4-8, 1-7) | W 45-42 | 5.05 | 7.46 | -2.41 | 5.55%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at #19 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-2) | L 17-68 | 4.37 | 9.69 | -5.32 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at UMass (3-9, 3-5) | W 47-42 | 6.19 | 6.94 | -0.75 | 31.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Buffalo (5-6, 3-4) | W 36-35 | 6.68 | 5.18 | +1.50 | 83.66%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Ohio (6-6, 4-4) | W 31-13 | 5.38 | 4.66 | +0.72 | 67.65%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | L 14-26 | 4.28 | 4.88 | -0.60 | 35.10%
| -2 |
| Nov 4November 4 (Tue) | at Akron (5-7, 3-5) | W 27-10 | 4.58 | 4.42 | +0.15 | 53.90%
| +4 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Wed) | vs Kent State (2-9, 1-6) | W 30-20 | 5.44 | 5.38 | +0.06 | 51.52%
| +3 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Wed) | at Toledo (9-4, 7-1) | L 20-27 | 3.61 | 5.32 | -1.70 | 13.16%
| +3 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | L 24-41 | 6.88 | 7.13 | -0.25 | 43.56%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | vs Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) * | L 17-51 | 4.78 | 5.52 | -0.74 | 31.81%
| -2 |
| Dec 20December 20 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 5-3) * | W 33-28 | 5.56 | 5.53 | +0.02 | 50.54%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 5-4 | 5.50 | 5.98 | -0.483 | 5.94-8.06 (+2.06) | +10 |