| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Syracuse (6-3, 3-3) | L 22-38 | 6.32 | 6.86 | -0.54 | 36.52%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs South Alabama (4-5, 3-2) | W 27-20 | 5.94 | 5.23 | +0.71 | 67.46%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Morgan State (5-5, 2-1) | W 21-6 | 5.88 | 3.35 | +2.53 | 95.20%
| -3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Kentucky (3-6, 1-6) | L 6-41 | 4.37 | 7.18 | -2.80 | 3.58%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Akron (2-8, 1-5) | W 30-10 | 6.38 | 3.07 | +3.31 | 97.24%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Central Michigan (3-7, 1-5) | W 27-25 | 7.54 | 4.79 | +2.76 | 96.27%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Miami (OH) (6-4, 5-1) | L 20-30 | 3.83 | 6.60 | -2.77 | 3.69%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Buffalo (6-4, 4-2) | W 47-16 | 8.15 | 5.32 | +2.83 | 96.51%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Wed) | at Kent State (0-10, 0-6) | W 41-0 | 5.81 | 2.19 | +3.62 | 97.37%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Wed) | vs Eastern Michigan (5-5, 2-4) | W 35-10 | 6.77 | 4.16 | +2.61 | 95.64%
| +3 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Wed) | at Toledo (7-3, 4-2) | 7:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Ball State (3-7, 2-4) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-3, 5-1 | 6.07 | 4.95 | +1.119 | 6.89-3.11 (+0.11) | -4 |