| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | vs Northern Colorado (0-11, 0-8) | W 31-11 | 7.04 | 3.28 | +3.77 | 97.50%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Prairie View (6-6, 6-3) | W 45-16 | 8.89 | 6.20 | +2.69 | 96.01%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs #9 Incarnate Word (9-2, 6-1) | L 20-27 | 4.02 | 7.71 | -3.69 | 2.59%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Central Arkansas (7-4, 5-2) | L 17-52 | 4.38 | 7.79 | -3.41 | 2.72%
| -2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at North Texas (5-7, 3-5) | L 31-45 | 5.45 | 6.97 | -1.52 | 15.95%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs North Alabama (3-8, 1-5) | W 30-13 | 6.40 | 4.92 | +1.49 | 83.39%
| +5 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Stephen F. Austin (3-8, 0-7) | W 34-27 | 5.71 | 6.21 | -0.50 | 37.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Southern Utah (6-5, 4-2) | L 14-52 | 4.06 | 6.89 | -2.83 | 3.50%
| -3 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Utah Tech (2-9, 1-5) | W 24-7 | 4.38 | 4.89 | -0.51 | 37.11%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Tarleton State (8-3, 4-2) | L 30-31 | 5.24 | 7.91 | -2.66 | 4.12%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Texas A&M (7-6, 4-4) | L 10-38 | 4.25 | 6.69 | -2.44 | 5.33%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 3-3 | 5.41 | 6.31 | -0.907 | 3.86-7.14 (+1.14) | +5 |