| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Texas Tech (6-4, 4-3) | L 51-52 | 7.15 | 7.28 | -0.13 | 46.61%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs West Georgia (3-8, 0-8) | W 38-24 | 6.40 | 4.41 | +1.99 | 90.57%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Northern Colorado (1-10, 1-6) | W 24-22 | 6.02 | 3.41 | +2.61 | 95.63%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #4 Idaho (8-3, 5-2) | L 24-27 | 5.46 | 6.15 | -0.69 | 32.98%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Utah Tech (2-9, 2-5) | W 55-30 | 8.71 | 6.77 | +1.94 | 90.03%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #7 Central Arkansas (7-4, 4-3) | W 41-34 | 8.00 | 6.62 | +1.38 | 81.63%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at North Alabama (3-8, 3-4) | L 34-47 | 6.24 | 8.16 | -1.92 | 10.20%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 34-20 | 7.89 | 5.76 | +2.13 | 92.08%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Utah (5-6, 4-3) | W 28-25 | 6.18 | 5.19 | +0.99 | 73.77%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Austin Peay (4-7, 3-5) | W 35-34 | 7.31 | 6.48 | +0.82 | 70.09%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #12 Tarleton State (8-3, 5-2) | W 35-31 | 6.40 | 9.53 | -3.13 | 2.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Stephen F. Austin (6-5, 4-4) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 7-1 | 6.88 | 6.22 | +0.658 | 6.86-4.14 (+1.14) | -3 |