| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Texas Tech (8-4, 6-3) | L 51-52 | 7.15 | 7.28 | -0.13 | 46.61%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs West Georgia (3-8, 0-8) | W 38-24 | 6.40 | 4.41 | +1.99 | 90.57%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Northern Colorado (1-11, 1-7) | W 24-22 | 6.02 | 3.41 | +2.61 | 95.63%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #4 Idaho (9-4, 6-3) | L 24-27 | 5.46 | 6.15 | -0.69 | 32.98%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Utah Tech (2-10, 2-6) | W 55-30 | 8.71 | 6.77 | +1.94 | 90.03%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #7 Central Arkansas (7-5, 4-4) | W 41-34 | 8.00 | 6.62 | +1.38 | 81.63%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at North Alabama (3-9, 3-5) | L 34-47 | 6.24 | 8.16 | -1.92 | 10.20%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Eastern Kentucky (8-5, 6-2) | W 34-20 | 7.89 | 5.76 | +2.13 | 92.08%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Utah (6-6, 5-3) | W 28-25 | 6.18 | 5.19 | +0.99 | 73.77%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Austin Peay (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-34 | 7.31 | 6.48 | +0.82 | 70.09%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #12 Tarleton State (10-4, 6-2) | W 35-31 | 6.40 | 9.53 | -3.13 | 2.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Stephen F. Austin (7-5, 4-4) | L 19-32 | 4.19 | 5.41 | -1.22 | 21.38%
| -2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs #22 Northern Arizona (8-5, 6-2) | W 10-0 | 7.38 | 3.45 | +3.93 | 97.81%
| -2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at North Dakota State (13-2, 8-1) | L 31-51 | 5.75 | 6.56 | -0.81 | 30.10%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-1 | 6.64 | 6.05 | +0.590 | 8.36-5.64 (+0.64) | -9 |