| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Tulsa (4-8, 1-7) | L 7-35 | 4.41 | 6.55 | -2.14 | 7.80%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #23 Stephen F. Austin (11-3, 7-0) | W 28-20 | 4.95 | 4.17 | +0.78 | 69.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at TCU (8-4, 5-4) | L 21-42 | 6.04 | 8.31 | -2.27 | 6.65%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs #20 Austin Peay (7-5, 4-4) | W 45-31 | 6.09 | 5.95 | +0.14 | 53.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #24 Incarnate Word (5-7, 3-4) | L 7-38 | 4.96 | 4.75 | +0.21 | 55.23%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 52-23 | 7.29 | 5.32 | +1.97 | 90.41%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at #21 West Georgia (8-3, 5-3) | W 30-13 | 5.96 | 5.82 | +0.15 | 53.68%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Southern Utah (7-5, 6-2) | L 24-31 | 7.29 | 5.26 | +2.03 | 91.10%
| -3 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs #2 Tarleton State (12-2, 7-1) | W 31-28 | 7.63 | 5.75 | +1.88 | 89.33%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Utah Tech (2-10, 1-7) | W 31-10 | 5.68 | 4.07 | +1.62 | 85.53%
| +4 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | W 17-10 | 4.17 | 3.44 | +0.73 | 68.07%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Central Arkansas (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-28 | 7.04 | 6.66 | +0.38 | 59.59%
| +4 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs #24 Lamar (8-5, 4-3) | W 38-20 | 6.89 | 5.31 | +1.59 | 85.04%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 | at Stephen F. Austin (11-3, 7-0) | L 34-41 | 6.16 | 7.49 | -1.33 | 19.33%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-1 | 6.01 | 5.64 | +0.376 | 8.34-5.66 (+0.66) | +9 |