| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs South Dakota (6-5, 2-2) | W 37-20 | 7.01 | 5.63 | +1.39 | 81.65%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #25 TCU (11-2, 7-0) | L 19-35 | 6.50 | 6.17 | +0.33 | 58.22%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-4) | W 63-24 | 9.78 | 5.91 | +3.86 | 97.66%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Navy (5-7) | W 35-34 | 7.04 | 4.48 | +2.56 | 95.40%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Notre Dame (8-5) | L 33-59 | 6.47 | 8.62 | -2.15 | 7.70%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 (Thu) | vs San Diego State (8-5, 4-3) | L 27-41 | 5.29 | 7.32 | -2.04 | 8.87%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #5 Boise State (12-1, 6-1) | L 26-37 | 5.18 | 7.69 | -2.51 | 4.91%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at New Mexico (1-11, 1-6) | W 42-0 | 5.64 | 4.35 | +1.30 | 79.98%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Army (3-9) | W 24-14 | 4.64 | 4.95 | -0.31 | 42.15%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Wyoming (8-5, 5-2) | L 17-25 | 4.57 | 4.81 | -0.23 | 44.03%
| -2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs UNLV (2-10, 1-6) | W 45-17 | 7.35 | 3.78 | +3.57 | 97.35%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Colorado State (3-9, 1-6) | W 45-21 | 9.26 | 7.52 | +1.75 | 87.47%
| +2 |
| Dec 28December 28 (Wed) | vs Toledo (9-4, 7-1) * | L 41-42 | 5.40 | 5.92 | -0.51 | 37.14%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 3-4 | 6.45 | 5.81 | +0.640 | 7.43-5.57 (-0.43) | 0 |