| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Nicholls (0-12, 0-8) | W 44-16 | 7.06 | 4.31 | +2.75 | 96.25%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Wyoming (4-8, 2-6) | L 13-17 | 4.49 | 5.29 | -0.80 | 30.41%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 48-38 | 6.74 | 7.82 | -1.09 | 24.13%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Boise State (12-2, 8-1) | W 28-14 | 4.65 | 5.37 | -0.72 | 32.31%
| +5 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Navy (8-5) | W 30-21 | 5.60 | 5.54 | +0.06 | 51.63%
| +2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Utah State (10-4, 6-2) | L 16-34 | 4.74 | 6.58 | -1.84 | 11.25%
| -3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 35-31 | 5.16 | 6.45 | -1.29 | 19.99%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Army (4-8) | W 23-6 | 5.18 | 3.31 | +1.86 | 89.04%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at UNLV (2-11, 1-7) | W 48-21 | 6.38 | 4.52 | +1.86 | 88.97%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | W 45-38 | 5.89 | 6.15 | -0.26 | 43.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Fri) | at San Diego State (7-6, 5-3) | L 14-30 | 4.84 | 6.69 | -1.86 | 11.04%
| -3 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs #21 Colorado State (10-3, 6-2) | W 27-24 | 4.83 | 6.05 | -1.22 | 21.47%
| 0 |
| Dec 20December 20 | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) * | W 38-24 | 4.88 | 5.88 | -1.00 | 26.01%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 5-3 | 5.43 | 5.73 | -0.302 | 5.46-7.54 (+4.54) | +1 |