| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Morgan State (4-6, 4-4) | W 63-7 | 7.33 | 3.31 | +4.02 | 98.10%
| +2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs San José State (6-7, 4-4) | W 37-16 | 5.65 | 5.47 | +0.18 | 54.50%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #4 Michigan State (12-2, 8-1) | L 21-35 | 7.13 | 4.99 | +2.15 | 92.29%
| -3 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Navy (11-2, 7-1) | L 11-33 | 4.07 | 6.34 | -2.27 | 6.60%
| -4 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Wyoming (2-10, 2-6) | W 31-17 | 5.57 | 4.80 | +0.78 | 69.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-4) | L 23-38 | 5.64 | 6.81 | -1.17 | 22.48%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Fresno State (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-14 | 6.51 | 5.55 | +0.96 | 73.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 0-8) | W 58-7 | 6.29 | 3.79 | +2.50 | 95.03%
| +4 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Army (2-10) | W 20-3 | 6.18 | 3.25 | +2.93 | 96.76%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Utah State (6-7, 5-3) | W 35-28 | 7.16 | 6.27 | +0.89 | 71.61%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Fri) | at Boise State (9-4, 5-3) | W 37-30 | 8.67 | 4.73 | +3.95 | 97.85%
| -4 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at New Mexico (7-6, 5-3) | L 35-47 | 7.20 | 7.88 | -0.67 | 33.29%
| -2 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at San Diego State (11-3, 9-0) | L 24-27 | 5.97 | 7.27 | -1.30 | 19.87%
| +1 |
| Dec 29December 29 (Tue) | vs California (8-5, 4-5) * | L 36-55 | 6.38 | 8.25 | -1.87 | 10.83%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 6.40 | 5.71 | +0.695 | 8.41-5.59 (-0.41) | -5 |