| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 3-5) | W 47-44 | 7.19 | 5.87 | +1.32 | 80.48%
| -4 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at New Mexico (7-6, 5-3) | W 40-21 | 6.74 | 5.74 | +1.01 | 74.17%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #16 Oklahoma (11-2, 8-1) | L 38-52 | 6.63 | 9.09 | -2.47 | 5.16%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 24-38 | 5.18 | 6.79 | -1.61 | 14.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Louisiana Monroe (2-11, 1-7) | W 34-24 | 5.26 | 5.25 | +0.01 | 50.36%
| +3 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at East Carolina (5-7, 3-5) | L 17-30 | 5.38 | 5.31 | +0.08 | 51.97%
| -1 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Fri) | vs #18 Memphis (9-4, 5-3) | L 42-66 | 6.59 | 7.33 | -0.74 | 31.72%
| -2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at SMU (2-10, 1-7) | W 40-31 | 4.99 | 5.21 | -0.22 | 44.48%
| +2 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs UCF (0-12, 0-8) | W 45-30 | 6.64 | 4.96 | +1.68 | 86.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Cincinnati (7-6, 4-4) | L 38-49 | 6.61 | 7.86 | -1.25 | 20.88%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs #16 Navy (11-2, 7-1) | L 21-44 | 5.01 | 8.19 | -3.17 | 2.86%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 (Fri) | at Tulane (3-9, 1-7) | W 45-34 | 6.38 | 6.46 | -0.09 | 47.73%
| +1 |
| Dec 26December 26 | at Virginia Tech (7-6, 4-4) * | L 52-55 | 6.78 | 7.38 | -0.60 | 35.04%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 6.09 | 6.59 | -0.497 | 5.46-7.54 (+0.54) | +4 |