| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Charlotte (1-7, 0-5) * | W 34-11 | 6.66 | 4.04 | +2.62 | 95.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Lindenwood (4-5, 3-2) | W 20-13 | 7.49 | 3.13 | +4.36 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Southern Miss (6-2, 4-0) | L 22-38 | 5.22 | 6.95 | -1.72 | 12.83%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Boise State (6-3, 4-1) | L 14-47 | 3.23 | 5.77 | -2.54 | 4.73%
| -4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Oregon State (2-7, 1-0) | W 27-23 | 5.53 | 6.51 | -0.98 | 26.30%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Georgia State (1-7, 0-4) | W 41-20 | 6.27 | 4.54 | +1.73 | 87.26%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Coastal Carolina (5-3, 4-1) | L 37-45 | 5.40 | 6.51 | -1.11 | 23.57%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Old Dominion (6-3, 3-2) | L 21-24 | 5.19 | 5.89 | -0.69 | 32.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (3-5, 1-3) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at James Madison (7-1, 5-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Marshall (4-4, 2-2) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Arkansas State (5-4, 4-1) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-4, 1-3 | 5.68 | 5.40 | +0.285 | 3.83-4.17 (+0.17) | -4 |