| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs #13 Central Arkansas (7-5, 4-4) | W 34-31 | 5.08 | 7.08 | -2.00 | 9.22%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Tulsa (3-9, 1-7) | W 28-24 | 5.63 | 5.93 | -0.31 | 42.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #17 Michigan (7-5, 5-4) | L 18-28 | 4.06 | 7.02 | -2.96 | 3.17%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #20 Iowa State (11-3, 7-3) | L 7-52 | 3.14 | 6.71 | -3.57 | 2.66%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs South Alabama (7-6, 5-3) | W 18-16 | 5.96 | 6.57 | -0.61 | 34.82%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 9-41 | 5.33 | 8.44 | -3.11 | 2.93%
| -2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 44-28 | 6.67 | 5.32 | +1.35 | 81.05%
| +3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 6.51 | 6.56 | -0.05 | 48.68%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Louisiana (10-4, 7-2) | L 19-55 | 5.28 | 8.91 | -3.63 | 2.63%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Georgia State (3-9, 1-7) | W 27-20 | 5.42 | 5.71 | -0.28 | 42.79%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs UL Monroe (5-7, 3-5) | W 28-21 | 5.59 | 6.55 | -0.96 | 26.88%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Old Dominion (5-7, 4-4) | L 32-40 | 5.47 | 8.42 | -2.95 | 3.19%
| -2 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Thu) | at Bowling Green (7-6, 6-2) * | W 38-31 | 5.71 | 6.47 | -0.76 | 31.30%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.41 | 6.89 | -1.479 | 3.31-9.69 (+4.69) | +2 |