| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Southern Illinois (8-5, 4-4) | L 23-49 | 4.44 | 5.84 | -1.40 | 18.08%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at #9 Tennessee (9-4, 4-4) | L 13-30 | 4.52 | 7.02 | -2.50 | 4.99%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs East Tennessee State (3-8, 2-6) | W 63-3 | 8.16 | 4.34 | +3.82 | 97.58%
| +2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Stephen F. Austin (3-8, 0-7) | W 22-20 | 5.60 | 4.44 | +1.16 | 77.38%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Lindenwood (3-7, 1-5) | W 52-10 | 9.08 | 4.78 | +4.30 | 99.67%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-5, 5-1) | W 41-14 | 6.60 | 4.46 | +2.14 | 92.22%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Southern Utah (6-5, 4-2) | W 48-45 | 6.44 | 6.23 | +0.21 | 55.25%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs North Alabama (3-8, 1-5) | W 49-39 | 6.84 | 5.54 | +1.30 | 80.10%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Eastern Kentucky (5-6, 4-2) | W 33-30 | 7.00 | 5.49 | +1.51 | 83.74%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Utah Tech (2-9, 1-5) | W 30-17 | 6.02 | 6.42 | -0.40 | 40.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs #20 Central Arkansas (7-4, 5-2) | W 7-3 | 4.41 | 3.86 | +0.55 | 63.75%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs #19 Chattanooga (8-5, 6-3) | L 21-24 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-3, 6-0 | 6.40 | 5.35 | +1.051 | 7.13-3.87 (+1.87) | 0 |