| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Louisville (6-3, 4-2) | L 0-62 | 1.83 | 9.21 | -7.38 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #12 Southern Illinois (3-7, 1-5) | L 17-31 | 5.07 | 5.27 | -0.20 | 44.82%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #7 Central Arkansas (6-4, 3-3) | L 17-45 | 5.36 | 7.34 | -1.98 | 9.45%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Alabama A&M (4-5, 2-3) | W 59-16 | 7.06 | 4.32 | +2.75 | 96.23%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Southern Utah (5-5, 4-2) | L 17-28 | 5.04 | 7.30 | -2.26 | 6.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at West Georgia (3-7, 0-7) | W 20-16 | 4.65 | 6.19 | -1.53 | 15.76%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Utah Tech (1-9, 1-5) | W 13-7 | 4.94 | 3.34 | +1.59 | 85.16%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs #8 Tarleton State (8-2, 5-1) | L 17-27 | 4.53 | 6.01 | -1.49 | 16.58%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at North Alabama (3-8, 3-4) | W 31-17 | 7.84 | 6.16 | +1.68 | 86.50%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs #16 Abilene Christian (7-3, 6-1) | L 34-35 | 6.48 | 7.31 | -0.82 | 29.87%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-4, 4-2) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Chattanooga (6-4, 5-2) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-6, 3-4 | 5.30 | 6.22 | -0.918 | 3.91-6.09 (+0.09) | 0 |