| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Missouri State (8-3, 6-1) | W 42-34 | 5.52 | 5.82 | -0.30 | 42.41%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #10 Miami (9-1, 5-1) | L 0-62 | 2.21 | 10.56 | -8.35 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Central Michigan (4-7, 2-5) | L 34-37 | 5.60 | 9.76 | -4.16 | 1.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at James Madison (8-2, 4-2) | L 7-63 | 3.52 | 8.31 | -4.79 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Western Michigan (5-6, 4-3) | L 42-45 | 6.11 | 6.68 | -0.57 | 35.67%
| -2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Kent State (0-11, 0-7) | W 37-35 | 5.65 | 6.99 | -1.33 | 19.30%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Vanderbilt (6-4, 3-3) | L 14-24 | 5.26 | 6.18 | -0.92 | 27.63%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Northern Illinois (6-5, 3-4) | W 25-23 | 5.31 | 5.79 | -0.48 | 38.01%
| +3 |
| Nov 5November 5 (Tue) | vs Miami (OH) (7-4, 6-1) | L 21-27 | 5.61 | 5.37 | +0.24 | 56.04%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Tue) | at Buffalo (7-4, 5-2) | L 48-51 | 7.03 | 6.03 | +1.00 | 74.06%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Bowling Green (6-4, 5-1) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at Ohio (8-3, 6-1) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-7, 2-4 | 5.26 | 7.13 | -1.862 | 2.94-7.06 (+0.06) | +1 |