| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Arizona (5-7, 3-6) | L 20-38 | 4.00 | 6.23 | -2.23 | 6.95%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Idaho State (1-10, 1-7) | W 38-7 | 7.07 | 4.63 | +2.44 | 94.68%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #14 Utah (10-4, 8-2) | L 7-35 | 3.15 | 5.85 | -2.71 | 3.93%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Toledo (9-5, 6-3) | W 17-14 | 4.95 | 5.08 | -0.13 | 46.58%
| +3 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Fri) | at Boise State (10-4, 8-1) | L 13-35 | 2.24 | 6.82 | -4.58 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Hawai'i (3-10, 2-6) | W 16-14 | 5.87 | 5.90 | -0.02 | 49.39%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Nevada (2-10, 0-8) | W 23-7 | 4.95 | 3.66 | +1.29 | 79.92%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Fresno State (10-4, 8-1) | L 28-32 | 7.13 | 5.51 | +1.62 | 85.59%
| -3 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs UNLV (5-7, 3-5) | W 14-10 | 4.38 | 5.33 | -0.95 | 26.95%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs San José State (7-5, 5-3) | W 43-27 | 6.25 | 4.13 | +2.12 | 92.01%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 (Fri) | at New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | W 34-10 | 7.17 | 4.27 | +2.91 | 96.72%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | L 3-13 | 4.07 | 4.13 | -0.07 | 48.32%
| -3 |
| Dec 24December 24 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) * | L 23-25 | 4.76 | 2.52 | +2.24 | 93.09%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.18 | 4.95 | +0.239 | 7.24-5.76 (-0.24) | -4 |