| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at Missouri (7-4, 3-4) | L 6-61 | 3.66 | 8.12 | -4.45 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (3-8, 2-6) | W 41-17 | 7.49 | 4.69 | +2.80 | 96.41%
| -3 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs #3 Tarleton State (11-1, 7-1) | L 10-56 | 4.59 | 6.33 | -1.74 | 12.61%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at #22 Sacramento State (7-5, 5-3) | L 16-45 | 4.03 | 9.87 | -5.84 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Lamar (8-4, 4-3) | L 32-35 | 5.98 | 5.53 | +0.45 | 61.25%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Utah Tech (2-10, 1-7) | W 23-17 | 5.15 | 4.96 | +0.19 | 54.80%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 49-21 | 7.15 | 3.67 | +3.48 | 97.31%
| +3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at West Georgia (8-3, 5-3) | L 17-18 | 4.84 | 4.85 | -0.01 | 49.84%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | L 13-34 | 5.09 | 5.43 | -0.34 | 41.45%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Austin Peay (7-5, 4-4) | L 38-41 | 6.44 | 5.85 | +0.58 | 64.55%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Southern Utah (7-5, 6-2) | L 21-28 | 5.51 | 5.55 | -0.04 | 48.85%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs #18 Abilene Christian (8-4, 7-1) | L 28-49 | 6.66 | 7.04 | -0.38 | 40.37%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.60 | 5.95 | -0.354 | 5.67-6.33 (-2.67) | -13 |