| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | vs #15 Chattanooga (10-4, 7-0) | W 20-16 | 4.46 | 4.83 | -0.37 | 40.60%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Purdue (3-9, 1-7) | W 38-17 | 5.64 | 3.93 | +1.72 | 87.04%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Syracuse (3-9, 1-7) | L 3-40 | 3.81 | 5.87 | -2.07 | 8.54%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Kansas (3-9, 1-8) | L 10-24 | 4.57 | 5.35 | -0.77 | 30.95%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Toledo (9-4, 7-1) | L 28-42 | 6.77 | 7.54 | -0.77 | 31.05%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Ohio (6-6, 4-4) | W 28-10 | 5.91 | 4.25 | +1.66 | 86.22%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) | W 34-17 | 7.17 | 5.17 | +2.00 | 90.74%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | L 29-32 | 6.17 | 3.78 | +2.40 | 94.37%
| -4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Buffalo (5-6, 3-4) | W 20-14 | 4.67 | 4.59 | +0.08 | 51.96%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-7 | 6.42 | 2.02 | +4.40 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Miami (OH) (2-10, 2-6) | W 34-27 | 6.78 | 6.93 | -0.15 | 46.20%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | L 20-32 | 4.75 | 6.24 | -1.50 | 16.42%
| -1 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Wed) | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) * | L 48-49 | 8.20 | 8.74 | -0.54 | 36.46%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.84 | 5.44 | +0.398 | 7.21-5.79 (-0.21) | -5 |