| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Central Connecticut (6-5, 5-1) | W 66-10 | 9.44 | 4.25 | +5.19 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Florida International (3-7, 2-4) * | L 16-52 | 4.39 | 6.06 | -1.67 | 13.69%
| -6 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Illinois (7-3, 4-3) | L 9-30 | 4.98 | 6.53 | -1.55 | 15.50%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Ball State (3-7, 2-4) | W 37-34 | 9.76 | 5.60 | +4.16 | 98.73%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs San Diego State (3-7, 2-3) | W 22-21 | 5.14 | 5.35 | -0.22 | 44.49%
| -3 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Ohio (8-3, 6-1) | L 25-27 | 4.79 | 7.54 | -2.76 | 3.74%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Eastern Michigan (5-6, 2-5) | L 34-38 | 6.72 | 5.73 | +0.99 | 73.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Miami (OH) (7-4, 6-1) | L 7-46 | 3.17 | 8.22 | -5.05 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 (Tue) | vs Bowling Green (6-4, 5-1) | L 13-23 | 4.81 | 5.97 | -1.16 | 22.59%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Tue) | at Toledo (7-4, 4-3) | L 10-37 | 3.69 | 4.90 | -1.21 | 21.55%
| -5 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Tue) | vs Western Michigan (5-6, 4-3) | W 16-14 | 4.65 | 3.61 | +1.04 | 74.96%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Northern Illinois (6-5, 3-4) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 2-5 | 5.46 | 5.80 | -0.336 | 4.69-6.31 (-0.69) | -17 |