Dayton Flyers
| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 17-10 | | | | | |
| Sep 18September 18 | at #9 Southern Illinois (8-5, 6-4) | L 3-55 | 3.16 | 9.27 | -6.11 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Presbyterian College (2-9, 0-8) | W 63-43 | 6.13 | 6.04 | +0.08 | 52.12%
| +2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Morehead State (7-4, 6-2) | L 38-45 | 7.04 | 8.37 | -1.33 | 19.38%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Drake (2-9, 1-7) | W 28-10 | 4.86 | 4.89 | -0.03 | 49.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Marist (5-5, 5-3) | L 17-20 | 5.84 | 3.67 | +2.16 | 92.44%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Valparaiso (4-7, 4-4) | L 28-45 | 4.83 | 6.16 | -1.33 | 19.38%
| -3 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Butler (3-8, 1-7) | W 38-31 | 8.20 | 5.89 | +2.31 | 93.75%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Stetson (4-7, 2-6) | W 41-13 | 7.73 | 5.01 | +2.71 | 96.11%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Davidson (8-3, 7-1) | W 38-29 | 5.12 | 6.05 | -0.93 | 27.43%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-4, 5-3 | 5.82 | 6.18 | -0.358 | 4.50-4.50 (+1.50) | +3 |