| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at San Diego State (8-5, 6-2) | W 40-19 | 6.50 | 4.44 | +2.06 | 91.33%
| +3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) | W 40-37 | 6.16 | 5.24 | +0.92 | 72.27%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #18 Illinois State (5-6, 4-4) | W 57-24 | 8.21 | 6.03 | +2.18 | 92.59%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Northern Illinois (12-2, 8-1) | L 39-43 | 6.95 | 7.34 | -0.39 | 40.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-6, 4-4) | W 42-7 | 6.11 | 3.80 | +2.31 | 93.68%
| +3 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | at Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 63-7 | 7.91 | 4.07 | +3.84 | 97.62%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-9, 2-6) | W 55-33 | 8.21 | 4.89 | +3.32 | 97.25%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at #21 Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | W 34-16 | 7.27 | 4.39 | +2.88 | 96.65%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | W 56-21 | 5.75 | 4.01 | +1.74 | 87.32%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | W 37-17 | 6.54 | 4.90 | +1.64 | 85.97%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs #22 Jacksonville State (11-4, 5-3) | W 52-14 | 7.26 | 3.47 | +3.79 | 97.54%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at UT Martin (7-5, 5-3) | W 70-22 | 6.29 | 3.93 | +2.35 | 94.04%
| +4 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | W 51-10 | | | | | |
| Dec 13December 13 (Fri) | vs Towson (13-3, 6-2) | L 39-49 | 5.16 | 8.04 | -2.88 | 3.36%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 8-0 | 6.72 | 4.97 | +1.748 | 10.50-2.50 (+1.50) | +14 |