| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Robert Morris (5-6, 3-3) | W 38-6 | 5.65 | 4.38 | +1.27 | 79.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #8 Louisville (12-1, 7-1) | L 7-44 | 3.55 | 7.66 | -4.11 | 1.54%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #21 Coastal Carolina (12-3, 4-1) | L 32-51 | 5.55 | 8.76 | -3.22 | 2.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Morehead State (3-9, 3-5) | W 56-24 | 7.67 | 4.36 | +3.31 | 97.24%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #8 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 7-42 | 3.80 | 6.11 | -2.31 | 6.31%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 38-3 | 6.57 | 2.30 | +4.27 | 99.44%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | W 24-10 | 4.89 | 3.13 | +1.76 | 87.70%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-7 | 5.64 | 4.44 | +1.20 | 78.14%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #23 Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | W 44-0 | 4.69 | 2.73 | +1.96 | 90.28%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Jacksonville State (11-4, 5-3) | L 10-68 | 2.60 | 7.40 | -4.80 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 5-3) | L 7-16 | 3.69 | 5.46 | -1.77 | 12.22%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | L 27-34 | 3.95 | 6.64 | -2.70 | 3.97%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 4.84 | 5.42 | -0.585 | 5.59-6.41 (+0.41) | +2 |