| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Mississippi State (2-10, 0-8) | L 7-56 | 3.88 | 7.90 | -4.01 | 1.94%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | L 0-31 | 4.43 | 7.30 | -2.86 | 3.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs West Georgia (3-8, 0-8) | W 19-7 | 5.57 | 5.20 | +0.37 | 59.22%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Morehead State (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-13 | 7.47 | 3.93 | +3.54 | 97.33%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Robert Morris (7-5, 5-2) | W 31-7 | 6.58 | 3.74 | +2.83 | 96.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Southern Utah (6-6, 5-3) | L 21-42 | 4.76 | 6.34 | -1.58 | 14.97%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #21 Abilene Christian (9-5, 7-1) | L 20-34 | 5.76 | 7.89 | -2.13 | 7.91%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Utah Tech (2-10, 2-6) | W 28-17 | 4.96 | 5.09 | -0.13 | 46.70%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at #7 Tarleton State (10-4, 6-2) | W 17-13 | 4.49 | 5.37 | -0.87 | 28.71%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs #19 Central Arkansas (7-5, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 4.54 | 6.45 | -1.91 | 10.36%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Austin Peay (4-8, 3-5) | W 30-27 | 4.90 | 5.43 | -0.53 | 36.68%
| -3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs North Alabama (3-9, 3-5) | W 14-0 | 5.57 | 5.19 | +0.38 | 59.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at #11 Villanova (10-4, 6-2) | L 17-22 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.23 | 5.88 | -0.656 | 4.63-7.37 (+3.37) | +2 |