| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Louisville (7-4, 4-4) | L 17-51 | 2.83 | 8.09 | -5.26 | 0.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Houston Christian (2-10, 1-6) | W 20-10 | 2.98 | 3.29 | -0.30 | 42.32%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Marshall (5-6, 3-4) | L 7-38 | 1.96 | 5.31 | -3.35 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at West Georgia (8-3, 5-3) | L 12-33 | 4.96 | 4.32 | +0.64 | 65.81%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Nicholls (4-8, 4-3) | W 27-7 | 5.32 | 5.24 | +0.08 | 52.11%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #15 Austin Peay (7-5, 4-4) | W 34-20 | 7.00 | 6.39 | +0.61 | 65.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | L 14-35 | 5.10 | 5.89 | -0.78 | 30.76%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs #3 Tarleton State (11-1, 7-1) | L 7-31 | 4.02 | 5.58 | -1.56 | 15.35%
| -4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Central Arkansas (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-13 | 5.43 | 5.09 | +0.34 | 58.51%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Southern Utah (7-5, 6-2) | L 17-27 | 6.05 | 6.97 | -0.92 | 27.58%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs #20 Abilene Christian (8-4, 7-1) | L 10-17 | 3.44 | 4.17 | -0.73 | 31.89%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Utah Tech (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-10 | 5.79 | 3.58 | +2.21 | 92.89%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 4.62 | 5.34 | -0.722 | 4.85-7.15 (+0.15) | +3 |