| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Louisville (7-1, 4-1) | L 17-51 | 2.83 | 8.09 | -5.26 | 0.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Houston Christian (2-7, 1-3) | W 20-10 | 2.98 | 3.29 | -0.30 | 42.32%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Marshall (4-4, 2-2) | L 7-38 | 1.96 | 5.31 | -3.35 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at West Georgia (6-3, 3-3) | L 12-33 | 4.96 | 4.32 | +0.64 | 65.81%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Nicholls (3-6, 3-2) | W 27-7 | 5.32 | 5.24 | +0.08 | 52.11%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #15 Austin Peay (5-4, 3-3) | W 34-20 | 7.00 | 6.39 | +0.61 | 65.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at North Alabama (2-7, 1-4) | L 14-35 | 5.10 | 5.89 | -0.78 | 30.76%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs #3 Tarleton State (9-1, 5-1) | L 7-31 | 4.02 | 5.58 | -1.56 | 15.35%
| -4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Central Arkansas (3-6, 2-3) | W 34-13 | 5.43 | 5.09 | +0.34 | 58.51%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Southern Utah (4-5, 3-2) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Abilene Christian (5-4, 4-1) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Utah Tech (2-7, 1-4) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-5, 2-3 | 4.47 | 5.47 | -1.007 | 3.33-5.67 (+0.67) | +4 |