| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | L 27-52 | 5.84 | 9.18 | -3.35 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Long Island University (6-6, 4-3) | L 23-28 | 5.76 | 6.94 | -1.18 | 22.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | L 23-48 | 6.32 | 7.47 | -1.15 | 22.73%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | W 34-31 | 6.10 | 6.58 | -0.48 | 37.99%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Central Michigan (7-5, 5-3) | L 13-24 | 5.23 | 6.83 | -1.61 | 14.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Buffalo (5-7, 4-4) | L 30-31 | 4.65 | 5.53 | -0.88 | 28.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Northern Illinois (3-9, 2-6) | W 16-10 | 4.33 | 4.77 | -0.44 | 39.02%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Miami (OH) (7-6, 6-3) | L 30-44 | 6.36 | 5.90 | +0.47 | 61.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Ohio (8-4, 6-2) | L 21-28 | 6.75 | 6.58 | +0.16 | 54.15%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Bowling Green (4-8, 2-6) | W 27-21 | 5.13 | 5.08 | +0.05 | 51.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-9 | 5.51 | 3.75 | +1.76 | 87.62%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Tue) | vs Western Michigan (9-4, 8-1) | L 21-31 | 7.20 | 5.91 | +1.30 | 80.02%
| -5 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.71 | 6.25 | -0.540 | 5.03-6.97 (-1.03) | -5 |