| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Duke (6-7, 3-5) | L 26-46 | 5.64 | 6.56 | -0.93 | 27.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 41-38 | 5.51 | 4.67 | +0.84 | 70.56%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at UCF (10-4, 7-2) | L 20-33 | 4.86 | 5.99 | -1.13 | 23.25%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs #20 Louisville (11-2, 5-2) | L 21-28 | 5.43 | 4.82 | +0.61 | 65.23%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 20-48 | 4.18 | 7.16 | -2.98 | 3.13%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Thu) | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 20-34 | 4.32 | 7.02 | -2.70 | 3.96%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | L 30-34 | 6.44 | 6.30 | +0.14 | 53.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 37-38 | 6.39 | 5.02 | +1.36 | 81.27%
| -1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | L 6-14 | 5.15 | 4.82 | +0.33 | 58.38%
| -3 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 28-20 | 5.14 | 6.03 | -0.89 | 28.38%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Fri) | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-24 | 6.43 | 5.59 | +0.85 | 70.68%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | L 17-23 | 4.76 | 3.41 | +1.36 | 81.14%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.37 | 5.59 | -0.219 | 5.67-6.33 (-2.67) | -4 |