| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Indiana (11-1, 8-1) | L 7-31 | 3.09 | 6.37 | -3.28 | 2.78%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Central Michigan (4-8, 2-6) * | W 52-16 | 6.06 | 4.39 | +1.67 | 86.29%
| +6 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 1-7) | L 20-38 | 6.13 | 5.39 | +0.75 | 68.43%
| -5 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Monmouth (6-6, 4-4) * | L 42-45 | 8.19 | 6.28 | +1.91 | 89.66%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) * | W 17-10 | 4.83 | 4.50 | +0.33 | 58.34%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 (Tue) | at Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | L 24-31 | 5.46 | 6.15 | -0.69 | 32.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | at UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | L 21-30 | 4.71 | 5.39 | -0.69 | 32.98%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | vs Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) * | L 7-10 | 3.43 | 3.23 | +0.20 | 54.97%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) * | W 34-13 | 7.07 | 3.97 | +3.10 | 97.06%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 31-34 | 6.34 | 5.86 | +0.48 | 62.10%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | L 26-27 | 6.68 | 5.34 | +1.35 | 80.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) * | W 35-24 | 7.02 | 5.98 | +1.03 | 74.70%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.76 | 5.26 | +0.501 | 7.41-4.59 (-3.41) | -3 |