| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | vs Bethune-Cookman (6-6, 5-3) | W 42-9 | 6.25 | 5.01 | +1.23 | 78.78%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #2 Penn State (6-6, 3-6) | L 0-34 | 4.03 | 6.39 | -2.36 | 5.88%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-28 | 6.38 | 5.83 | +0.55 | 63.63%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Delaware (6-6, 4-4) | L 16-38 | 5.26 | 5.42 | -0.16 | 45.83%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at UConn (9-3) | L 10-51 | 4.22 | 7.87 | -3.64 | 2.62%
| -4 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | at Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2) | W 25-6 | 6.47 | 5.33 | +1.14 | 77.02%
| +3 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | vs Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | L 26-45 | 7.10 | 8.59 | -1.49 | 16.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Wed) | at Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) | L 21-28 | 4.87 | 5.77 | -0.89 | 28.28%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-30 | 6.08 | 4.67 | +1.41 | 82.07%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-27 | 5.14 | 5.18 | -0.04 | 48.94%
| +2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | W 27-21 | 5.77 | 5.83 | -0.06 | 48.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Sam Houston (2-10, 1-7) * | W 56-16 | 9.28 | 5.06 | +4.22 | 99.11%
| +3 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Fri) | at UTSA (6-6, 4-4) * | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.87 | 5.85 | +0.014 | 5.97-6.03 (+1.03) | +2 |