| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Wofford (5-5, 3-4) | L 20-21 | 6.00 | 5.26 | +0.74 | 68.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at James Madison (7-2, 3-2) | L 6-13 | 4.14 | 5.12 | -0.98 | 26.27%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Charlotte (3-6, 2-3) | L 26-27 | 5.74 | 5.72 | +0.01 | 50.34%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Presbyterian (4-6, 2-4) | W 42-21 | 6.55 | 6.31 | +0.24 | 56.07%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-5, 4-2) | L 21-52 | 4.27 | 7.96 | -3.69 | 2.59%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at UT Martin (7-3, 5-1) | L 10-35 | 5.22 | 6.28 | -1.06 | 24.73%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Lindenwood (5-6, 4-3) | W 42-35 | 6.64 | 7.03 | -0.40 | 40.01%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at #6 Southeast Missouri State (8-2, 5-1) | L 24-30 | 4.49 | 5.08 | -0.59 | 35.26%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Charleston Southern (1-9, 0-7) | W 17-14 | 4.29 | 4.35 | -0.07 | 48.32%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-8, 1-5) | W 31-28 | 6.73 | 7.15 | -0.43 | 39.18%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Tennessee State (7-3, 4-2) | 1:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Western Illinois (3-7, 2-4) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-6, 3-3 | 5.40 | 5.99 | -0.598 | 3.91-6.09 (+0.09) | -1 |