| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | L 26-33 | 6.13 | 5.65 | +0.48 | 61.98%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Morehead State (3-8, 2-6) | W 52-21 | 9.05 | 4.71 | +4.34 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Youngstown State (6-5, 4-4) | L 27-34 | 5.18 | 6.74 | -1.56 | 15.34%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | W 20-13 | 4.69 | 4.47 | +0.23 | 55.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #5 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 10-20 | 5.18 | 6.60 | -1.42 | 17.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 38-13 | 6.31 | 6.84 | -0.53 | 36.68%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #15 South Dakota (6-5, 2-2) | W 28-3 | 5.11 | 3.06 | +2.05 | 91.28%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs #17 Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | W 17-14 | 5.25 | 5.07 | +0.18 | 54.51%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | W 38-30 | 5.61 | 6.42 | -0.81 | 30.13%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Western Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 31-7 | 5.34 | 4.40 | +0.94 | 72.81%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs #4 Northern Iowa (10-3, 7-1) | L 20-23 | 4.43 | 4.00 | +0.43 | 60.80%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-3 | 5.57 | 5.28 | +0.282 | 5.97-5.03 (+1.03) | -4 |