| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #18 Oklahoma (10-2, 6-2) | L 3-35 | 3.28 | 7.17 | -3.89 | 2.29%
| +2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Morehead State (6-6, 4-4) | W 41-13 | 6.44 | 3.39 | +3.05 | 97.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Eastern Illinois (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-30 | 6.74 | 6.30 | +0.44 | 61.05%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-36 | 6.49 | 4.99 | +1.50 | 83.63%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs #1 North Dakota State (12-1, 8-1) | L 16-33 | 4.97 | 8.14 | -3.17 | 2.86%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Murray State (1-11, 1-7) | W 46-32 | 7.73 | 6.20 | +1.53 | 84.14%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs #25 Youngstown State (8-5, 5-3) | L 35-40 | 6.00 | 6.84 | -0.84 | 29.42%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at South Dakota (10-5, 6-2) | W 21-13 | 4.76 | 4.73 | +0.03 | 50.77%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Northern Iowa (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-16 | 5.73 | 4.36 | +1.37 | 81.36%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Indiana State (3-9, 1-7) | W 52-20 | 6.45 | 5.44 | +1.01 | 74.32%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #15 South Dakota State (9-5, 4-4) | W 35-21 | 3.82 | 3.60 | +0.22 | 55.66%
| +2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Southern Illinois (7-5, 4-4) | L 7-37 | 3.81 | 6.15 | -2.34 | 6.03%
| -2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at #15 SE Louisiana (9-4, 6-1) | W 21-3 | 4.56 | 4.65 | -0.09 | 47.70%
| +3 |
| Dec 6December 6 | at North Dakota State (12-1, 8-1) | W 29-28 | 4.64 | 3.89 | +0.75 | 68.37%
| -3 |
| Dec 13December 13 | at UC Davis (9-4, 6-2) | W 42-31 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-4, 6-3 | 5.46 | 5.40 | +0.062 | 7.45-6.55 (+3.55) | +5 |