| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs #12 Northern Iowa (9-5, 6-3) | W 31-23 | 5.21 | 6.53 | -1.32 | 19.44%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | W 17-13 | 5.42 | 3.32 | +2.10 | 91.79%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Iowa State (2-10, 0-9) | L 17-20 | 4.04 | 5.44 | -1.39 | 18.22%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Pittsburgh (6-7, 4-4) | W 24-20 | 5.87 | 6.04 | -0.17 | 45.57%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Purdue (3-9, 1-7) | W 24-10 | 4.77 | 2.52 | +2.26 | 93.28%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Indiana (4-8, 1-7) | W 45-29 | 5.61 | 7.20 | -1.59 | 14.79%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Maryland (7-6, 4-4) | L 31-38 | 4.98 | 5.29 | -0.31 | 42.04%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Northwestern (5-7, 3-5) | W 48-7 | 6.80 | 2.69 | +4.12 | 98.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Minnesota (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-51 | 3.66 | 5.88 | -2.22 | 7.08%
| -3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Illinois (6-7, 3-5) | W 30-14 | 7.43 | 4.20 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs #16 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-2) | L 24-26 | 7.10 | 7.23 | -0.13 | 46.71%
| -1 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Nebraska (9-4, 5-3) | L 34-37 | 4.23 | 6.15 | -1.93 | 10.15%
| -2 |
| Jan 2January 2 (Fri) | at Tennessee (7-6, 3-5) * | L 28-45 | 6.38 | 6.32 | +0.06 | 51.60%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.47 | 5.28 | +0.186 | 6.36-6.64 (+0.64) | -6 |