| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | at #21 Stanford (12-2, 9-1) | L 17-20 | 4.63 | 4.18 | +0.45 | 61.29%
| -2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs UC Davis (4-7, 3-5) | W 45-13 | 6.62 | 4.20 | +2.42 | 94.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Colorado State (4-8, 3-5) | W 40-20 | 7.38 | 5.85 | +1.53 | 84.11%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at San Diego State (9-4, 7-1) | W 38-34 | 6.67 | 5.76 | +0.91 | 72.10%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Navy (8-5) | W 12-0 | 4.97 | 2.82 | +2.15 | 92.31%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Utah State (11-2, 6-0) | L 27-49 | 5.12 | 8.22 | -3.10 | 2.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at UT San Antonio (8-4, 3-3) | W 52-24 | 6.34 | 5.89 | +0.45 | 61.37%
| +3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-4) | W 31-20 | 7.51 | 5.83 | +1.69 | 86.60%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Idaho (1-11, 1-5) | W 42-13 | 6.07 | 3.89 | +2.18 | 92.60%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at New Mexico State (1-11, 0-6) | W 47-7 | 8.26 | 3.28 | +4.98 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs BYU (8-5) | W 20-14 | 5.52 | 5.02 | +0.49 | 62.31%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Louisiana Tech (9-3, 4-2) | W 52-43 | 7.82 | 6.60 | +1.22 | 78.60%
| +1 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Thu) | at Bowling Green (8-5, 6-2) * | W 29-20 | 5.76 | 4.03 | +1.73 | 87.19%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 5-1 | 6.35 | 5.08 | +1.262 | 9.76-3.24 (+1.24) | +8 |