| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs #10 Sacramento State (3-8, 1-6) | W 42-24 | 5.86 | 4.34 | +1.52 | 84.01%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Air Force (3-7, 1-4) | W 17-7 | 4.66 | 2.99 | +1.67 | 86.38%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Kennesaw State (1-9, 1-5) | W 31-10 | 6.52 | 3.00 | +3.52 | 97.32%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 (Fri) | at Washington State (8-2) | L 52-54 | 6.55 | 6.60 | -0.05 | 48.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Nevada (3-8, 0-5) | W 35-31 | 6.39 | 6.21 | +0.18 | 54.61%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Colorado State (7-3, 5-0) | L 24-31 | 7.00 | 6.84 | +0.16 | 54.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Wyoming (2-8, 2-4) | W 24-14 | 7.78 | 4.82 | +2.97 | 96.85%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Fresno State (5-5, 3-3) | L 10-33 | 5.66 | 5.03 | +0.64 | 65.81%
| -3 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Oregon State (4-6) | W 24-13 | 8.74 | 5.78 | +2.96 | 96.83%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs #13 Boise State (9-1, 6-0) | L 21-42 | 6.71 | 6.42 | +0.29 | 57.21%
| -3 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Fri) | vs #23 UNLV (8-2, 4-1) | 10:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Stanford (3-7, 2-5) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-4, 3-3 | 6.53 | 5.26 | +1.274 | 7.42-2.58 (-1.42) | -1 |