| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Southern Mississippi (12-2, 7-2) | L 17-19 | 3.73 | 5.07 | -1.34 | 19.13%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #18 Central Arkansas (9-4, 6-1) | W 48-42 | 6.73 | 5.60 | +1.13 | 76.73%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 34-35 | 4.74 | 6.41 | -1.68 | 13.50%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Mississippi State (7-6, 2-6) | L 20-26 | 4.92 | 4.66 | +0.27 | 56.70%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Hawai'i (6-7, 3-4) | L 26-44 | 5.29 | 6.45 | -1.16 | 22.53%
| -3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Idaho (2-10, 1-6) | W 24-11 | 4.20 | 4.39 | -0.20 | 45.01%
| +4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Utah State (7-6, 5-2) | W 24-17 | 3.67 | 4.57 | -0.90 | 28.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs San José State (5-7, 3-4) | W 38-28 | 5.69 | 5.48 | +0.22 | 55.45%
| +3 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Fresno State (4-9, 3-4) | W 41-21 | 9.00 | 5.21 | +3.79 | 97.53%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Ole Miss (2-10, 0-8) | W 27-7 | 5.22 | 4.06 | +1.16 | 77.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Nevada (7-6, 5-2) | W 24-20 | 6.97 | 5.25 | +1.71 | 87.01%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs New Mexico State (4-9, 2-5) | W 44-0 | 5.30 | 4.40 | +0.90 | 71.94%
| +2 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Wed) | vs TCU (11-2, 7-0) * | L 24-31 | 5.23 | 4.95 | +0.28 | 57.03%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-1 | 5.37 | 5.13 | +0.239 | 7.08-5.92 (+0.92) | +12 |