| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs #24 Nicholls (4-8, 2-5) | W 25-17 | 5.29 | 3.18 | +2.11 | 91.94%
| -4 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at NC State (6-6, 3-5) | L 20-30 | 5.89 | 5.23 | +0.66 | 66.34%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Tulsa (3-9, 1-7) | L 20-23 | 4.00 | 5.05 | -1.05 | 24.97%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Florida International (4-8, 3-5) * | L 10-17 | 4.50 | 4.83 | -0.33 | 41.62%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-21 | 7.55 | 5.60 | +1.95 | 90.11%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | at New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | L 30-33 | 4.18 | 5.43 | -1.25 | 20.87%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | vs UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | W 14-10 | 4.18 | 3.98 | +0.20 | 54.96%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | at Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-9 | 3.90 | 4.62 | -0.72 | 32.18%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 37-44 | 5.86 | 4.34 | +1.51 | 83.85%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | W 12-7 | 4.30 | 4.48 | -0.18 | 45.35%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Arkansas (6-6, 3-5) | L 14-35 | 3.34 | 6.08 | -2.74 | 3.79%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | W 33-0 | 6.07 | 2.66 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| -1 |
| Dec 28December 28 | at #22 Army (11-2, 9-1) * | 9:15 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 4.90 | 4.67 | +0.231 | 6.53-5.47 (-1.53) | -4 |