| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs SE Louisiana (9-3, 6-1) | W 24-0 | 5.16 | 3.64 | +1.52 | 83.92%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #3 LSU (7-4, 3-4) | L 7-23 | 2.91 | 4.87 | -1.96 | 9.72%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs New Mexico State (4-7, 2-5) | W 49-14 | 6.93 | 6.31 | +0.62 | 65.45%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Southern Miss (7-4, 5-2) | W 30-20 | 5.76 | 6.27 | -0.51 | 37.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at UTEP (2-9, 1-6) | W 30-11 | 3.41 | 3.74 | -0.33 | 41.69%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Kennesaw State (8-3, 6-1) | L 7-35 | 4.07 | 6.35 | -2.28 | 6.50%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | vs Western Kentucky (8-3, 6-1) | L 27-28 | 5.41 | 4.72 | +0.69 | 67.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Fri) | vs Sam Houston (2-9, 1-6) | W 55-14 | 10.77 | 6.88 | +3.89 | 97.72%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Delaware (5-6, 3-4) | L 24-25 | 5.64 | 5.25 | +0.39 | 59.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Washington State (5-6, 0-1) | L 3-28 | 3.28 | 4.73 | -1.46 | 17.02%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Liberty (4-7, 3-4) | W 34-28 | 5.83 | 6.52 | -0.70 | 32.75%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Missouri State (7-4, 5-2) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-3 | 5.44 | 5.35 | +0.093 | 5.19-5.81 (+0.81) | +8 |