| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs SE Louisiana (9-4, 6-1) | W 24-0 | 5.16 | 3.64 | +1.52 | 83.92%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #3 LSU (7-5, 3-5) | L 7-23 | 2.91 | 4.87 | -1.96 | 9.72%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs New Mexico State (4-8, 2-6) | W 49-14 | 6.93 | 6.31 | +0.62 | 65.45%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | W 30-20 | 5.76 | 6.27 | -0.51 | 37.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 30-11 | 3.41 | 3.74 | -0.33 | 41.69%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | L 7-35 | 4.07 | 6.35 | -2.28 | 6.50%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2) | L 27-28 | 5.41 | 4.72 | +0.69 | 67.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Fri) | vs Sam Houston (2-10, 1-7) | W 55-14 | 10.77 | 6.88 | +3.89 | 97.72%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Delaware (6-6, 4-4) | L 24-25 | 5.64 | 5.25 | +0.39 | 59.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Washington State (6-6, 1-1) | L 3-28 | 3.28 | 4.73 | -1.46 | 17.02%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-28 | 5.83 | 6.52 | -0.70 | 32.75%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-30 | 7.42 | 7.17 | +0.25 | 56.30%
| +1 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Tue) | vs Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-3) * | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.60 | 5.48 | +0.127 | 5.75-6.25 (+1.25) | +9 |