| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs #23 Nicholls (6-5, 5-3) | W 42-17 | 7.01 | 4.82 | +2.19 | 92.68%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 55-50 | 9.71 | 6.94 | +2.78 | 96.33%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Mississippi State (7-6, 4-4) | W 31-29 | 4.64 | 5.64 | -1.00 | 26.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | L 28-31 | 7.14 | 4.34 | +2.80 | 96.42%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Temple (3-9, 1-7) | L 31-34 | 5.92 | 5.77 | +0.15 | 53.84%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Tulsa (7-6, 5-3) | L 29-35 | 6.20 | 6.21 | -0.01 | 49.80%
| -3 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Thu) | vs Navy (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-17 | 9.21 | 3.39 | +5.82 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Fri) | at UCF (9-4, 5-3) | L 7-24 | 3.70 | 4.76 | -1.06 | 24.63%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs #23 SMU (8-4, 4-4) | W 28-25 | 5.32 | 5.67 | -0.35 | 41.18%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs East Carolina (7-5, 5-3) | L 29-30 | 6.43 | 4.92 | +1.51 | 83.85%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Fri) | at #24 Houston (12-2, 8-1) | L 13-31 | 4.49 | 6.60 | -2.11 | 8.05%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Tulane (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-28 | 5.45 | 5.80 | -0.34 | 41.32%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 3-5 | 6.15 | 5.42 | +0.723 | 7.14-4.86 (-1.14) | -4 |