| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs North Alabama (3-9, 3-5) | W 40-0 | 6.55 | 3.14 | +3.42 | 97.29%
| +3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-17 | 6.31 | 4.18 | +2.12 | 92.02%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Florida State (2-10, 1-7) | W 20-12 | 4.75 | 4.33 | +0.42 | 60.53%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Navy (9-3, 7-2) | L 44-56 | 6.94 | 10.68 | -3.74 | 2.53%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-7 | 5.78 | 5.57 | +0.21 | 55.21%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at South Florida (6-6, 4-4) * | W 21-3 | 4.99 | 4.30 | +0.69 | 66.96%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs North Texas (6-6, 3-5) | W 52-44 | 7.51 | 6.73 | +0.78 | 69.21%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | W 33-28 | 5.30 | 5.83 | -0.53 | 36.79%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | L 36-44 | 7.07 | 5.59 | +1.48 | 83.29%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Fri) | vs Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 27-20 | 5.08 | 5.40 | -0.31 | 42.05%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs UAB (3-9, 2-6) | W 53-18 | 7.11 | 5.50 | +1.61 | 85.40%
| +4 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Thu) | at #17 Tulane (9-5, 7-2) | W 34-24 | 5.90 | 7.33 | -1.44 | 17.41%
| +3 |
| Dec 17December 17 (Tue) | at West Virginia (6-7, 5-4) * | W 42-37 | 8.46 | 7.03 | +1.44 | 82.58%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 6-2 | 6.26 | 5.83 | +0.429 | 7.91-5.09 (+3.09) | +18 |