| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs James Madison (8-2, 4-2) | L 7-30 | 4.26 | 6.95 | -2.69 | 4.01%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at North Carolina (6-4, 3-3) | L 20-38 | 6.39 | 6.90 | -0.51 | 37.24%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Gardner-Webb (4-7, 3-4) | W 27-26 | 5.72 | 5.74 | -0.01 | 49.62%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Indiana (10-0, 7-0) | L 14-52 | 4.57 | 7.50 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Rice (3-7, 2-4) | W 21-20 | 4.68 | 6.61 | -1.94 | 10.01%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs East Carolina (6-4, 4-2) | W 55-24 | 6.99 | 5.53 | +1.45 | 82.86%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #25 Navy (7-3, 5-2) | L 17-51 | 5.19 | 5.24 | -0.05 | 48.69%
| -5 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Memphis (9-2, 5-2) | L 28-33 | 5.83 | 5.30 | +0.53 | 63.17%
| -1 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Thu) | vs Tulane (9-2, 7-0) | L 3-34 | 4.30 | 5.53 | -1.23 | 21.23%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs South Florida (5-5, 3-3) | L 24-59 | 4.69 | 8.48 | -3.79 | 2.47%
| -3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Florida Atlantic (2-8, 0-6) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs UAB (2-8, 1-5) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-7, 2-4 | 5.27 | 6.36 | -1.091 | 3.23-6.77 (-0.23) | -10 |